Monday, April 13, 2009

It's that Time Again!

On Wednesday, the second NHL season begins. In a previous blog post I talked about those magical times of the year when sports' seasons coincide into an entertaining and exhilarating spectacle. This is one of those times. The NHL is wrapping up the regular season, NCAA hockey has the Frozen Four and the baseball season opens.

Starting with the amateurs, the NCAA hockey tournament was somewhat unusual this year. A heavy dose of upsets and over-performing teams made this tournament very unpredictable. Two of the big favorites, Michigan and Notre Dame, lost early in the tournament to Air Force and Bemidji State, respectively. Along the way there were a number of really entertaining games. Fortunately for me, the two games that I got a chance to see were both really exciting. The first game I saw was the New Hampshire-North Dakota game. After watching this game, my belief that hockey is the greatest sport was affirmed once more. Lots of exciting end-to-end action and a couple of hard-working squads made it possible. The other game I watched was the championship game between Miami (Ohio) and Boston U. Miami had never won a national championship in any sport and they had a very good chance to get their first. As long as you were a big Miami fan, this was another amazing game with an epic comeback wrapped up with a heart-breaking conclusion. Congratulations to Boston University's hockey team!

Now, onto the professional ranks. Here are your playoff matchups for the first round:

Eastern Conference

(1) Boston vs. (8) Montreal
(2) Washington vs. (7) New York
(3) New Jersey vs. (6) Carolina
(4) Pittsburgh vs. (5) Philadelphia

Western Conference

(1) San Jose vs. (8) Anaheim
(2) Detroit vs. (7) Columbus
(3) Vancouver vs. (6) St. Louis
(4) Chicago vs. (5) Calgary

I'm not going to go into a massive breakdown of each series since both SI.com and ESPN.com have done a great job. Instead, I'm going to just toss out some random thoughts, predictions and recommendations.

In both the East and West, the #3 and #6 teams are silent threats to every other team in the bracket. All four squads enter the playoffs on hot streaks and with great goaltending. If you want to see the best of gritty, passionate playoff hockey, keep an eye on the Pittsburgh-Philadelphia and San Jose-Anaheim matchups. These teams are regional rivals and have a general dislike for each other. Furthermore, Philadelphia and Anaheim are the reigning thug teams of the NHL, so we can expect some tight checking. If you want to see the archetypal sporting matchup of tremendous offense vs. crushing defense, tune into the Washington-New York series. Washington's Alex Ovechkin is reason enough to watch this series, as this highlight will confirm:



Now that I've paid my lip service to the rest of the league, it's time to talk about my Red Wings. St. Louis did the Wings a huge favor by winning their last game which pushed Anaheim out of 7th place. Columbus is a team that a second seeded Detroit team should be able to easily handle. However, Detroit needs to tread with caution. The Wings closed their season very weakly, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. Everyone knows that you can't just flip a switch and start playing like a contender, but the Wings are probably the team closest to having that capability. A lot of commentators say that goaltending is the biggest concern for Detroit and after this season, it's hard to argue with that. However, I will. Goaltending has been weak this year, but starting goalie Chris Osgood has shown marked improvement in the last few weeks and has back-stopped two Stanley Cup championship teams (including a dominating performance in last years championship run). The biggest concern for the Wings is overall defense competency. They have consistently shot themselves in the feet this season by making poor defensive-zone plays and leaving their goaltenders in impossible situations.

I expect the Wings will win the series in five or six games, but I will not be surprised if Columbus gets a win or two early in the series.

Getting a pulse on who is going to do well this year is tough. There are a ton of x-factors on every team this year and I don't think anyone has an early advantage. Will Boston be able to keep a lid on their emotions? Can the Rangers score goals? Is Martin Brodeur ready for the playoffs after a long injury recovery? Can San Jose finally transfer their regular season success into playoff success? How many games will it take for the Red Wings to get back into form? Can Roberto Luongo play up to the high level of Hart Trophy dark horse Chris Mason?

4 comments:

Jackson said...

If you want to despair for humanity, go to the current ESPN.com poll and note that only two states responded that they were more looking forward to the NHL playoffs than the NBA playoffs or the NFL draft (!??!?). In fact, outside those two states, NHL playoffs comes in last in the other 48. Thank god you live in #49. Also go Pennsylvania.

Dan Jenkins said...

I am stunned, but I shouldn't be. I love to hate on the NBA, but when so many states fall under the spell of the NFL Draft, I truly fear the ultimate fate of humanity. What really disappoints me are the states with strong playoff hockey teams (New Jersey, Washington DC area) or strong hockey tradition (come on Minnesota, I know you are sad that the Wild didn't make it, but seriously... the Vikings drafts picks?).

That said, ESPN is hardly a source for scientific polling and I'm guessing hockey fans rely on local sports coverage more than ESPN. I bet if TSN or CBC Sports did a similar poll, the result would be very different.

Thanks for bringing the poll to my attention. I almost never visit the ESPN front page anymore. My ESPN bookmark is actually on their NHL page and I navigate to the College Football and MLB pages from there. At least ESPN has good website design.

Jackson said...

I love how everyone was ripping on Osgood. Until he allowed one goal in two games.

What's with betting against guys who have multiple championship rings?

Dan Jenkins said...

Seriously, it's amazing how little respect Osgood gets. Even if the Wings repeat this year AND if Osgood wins a Conn Smythe, he would not be a lock for the Hall of Fame.

Now I know I risk being labeled as a homer, but to be honest the stats speak for themselves:

-Most all-time playoff wins and shutouts in franchise history
-Tied with future Hall of Famer Dominic Hasek for #10 on All-time NHL wins (everyone ahead is in the Hall of Fame or bound to join the ranks)

Let's toss in the 3 Stanley Cup championships (twice as a starter), 2 Jennings trophies, and four All-Star appearances.

Yeah, he had a rough regular season, but it was hardly surprising after going 14-4 with an insane 1.55 GAA in last year's Cup run. We call that the Cup hangover and he's lucky that his team and city have rallied behind him.

So, uh yeah, betting against Osgood isn't terribly wise, but he always plays better with a chip on his shoulder and the Wings in general are playing very, very well right now. Let's see how they do in Game 3 in the nutty city of Columbus.